Business owners who have identified the one party—or handful of likely parties—on the other side of the table often understand they need assistance beyond what their other advisors will provide, but wonder what an M&A advisor will do to add value We’re able to attune our offering to the one-off or targeted transaction because it is our primary focus, not one we default into. We are able to charge less than traditional investment banks because we are not required to utilize and pay for the platform required to execute on full-out auctions.
M&A 2025: I Was Wrong—Time for a Do-Over
In the final months of last year, deal professionals and analysts arrived at a consensus forecast for 2025. After a year of gradually increasing volume, improved macro-conditions combined with pent-up seller demand would lead to a land rush of quality deals coming to market.
I was part of this consensus. The land rush isn’t happening—at least not yet.
Deal activity remains sluggish. One measure I cited back in the fall was the U.S. Conference Board’s Expectations Index, which by definition is more forward looking than the more widely cited confidence index.
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Going back a year, a lot of us in the private M&A market thought that in terms of valuations and deal volume, 2024 would be a Super Bowl year. It’s been a good year. We made the playoffs, but why didn't we make the Super Bowl?
Now it looks like 2025 could be the year. Four sources of downdraft last year look like they’re headed the right way now.
One, corporate performance. In the industrial sectors where my firm, Greenberg Variations Capital is active, many OEMs loaded up on inventory to get ahead of their customers coming out of the pandemic.
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